RangeSight Studios : Risk Engine
    Pass Probability?Run the test

    Most never knew their real odds.

    What are your chances of passing FTMO?

    Test your strategy under real prop firm rules. Before you pay again.

    Get RangeSight for $29.99 lifetime

    Free. 60 seconds. Works for 24 prop firms, plus custom rules.

    Scroll

    Illustrative sample run

    PASS PROBABILITY

    28.58%

    BREACH RISK 30D

    41.45%

    MEDIAN DRAWDOWN

    4.61%

    TAIL DD P95

    9.39%

    PATHS SAMPLED

    10,026

    REC RISK / TRADE

    0.68%

    01
    CHAPTER : 01

    The failure pattern is always the same.

    Most never knew their real odds.

    CONTINUE

    The pattern is always the same.

    If you've taken a prop challenge, you already know how this story ends.

    You paid the fee.

    The evaluation fee is spent before you know whether the strategy can survive the rules.

    You hit the trailing drawdown.

    Not because the strategy was bad. Because the order of trades wasn't kind.

    You never knew your real odds.

    Backtests show one path. Your evaluation is one of thousands of possible paths.

    Pick your firm

    Which evaluation are you taking?

    FTMO: Survive the 10% drawdown rule. 10% max drawdown, 5% daily loss limit.

    Educational. Not affiliated with any prop firm. Models publicly published rules only.

    03
    CHAPTER : 03

    Same edge. Different order. Different outcome.

    A backtest shows one path. Your evaluation is one of thousands.

    CONTINUE

    The hidden problem

    Why your backtest is lying to you.

    A backtest shows one path. Your evaluation is one of thousands of possible paths. Same strategy, same edge, three different outcomes.

    Path A (passed)

    Wins clustered early. Easy pass.

    Path B (survived)

    Choppy. Survived but never hit profit target.

    Path C (blew up)

    Losses clustered. Trailing drawdown breached.

    Same win rate. Same risk. Same edge. The order of trades decides who pays again.

    04
    CHAPTER : 04

    Test your strategy before you pay again.

    Free. 60 seconds. Real prop firm rules.

    DESCEND

    Free. No signup. 60 seconds.

    Test your strategy before you pay again.

    Enter your win rate, risk per trade, and reward ratio. See your real survival odds against your firm's drawdown rule.

    Check Your Pass Odds in 60 Seconds

    What are your chances of passing your prop challenge?

    No signup. No guesswork.

    Before you risk another evaluation fee, check this.

    3%
    45%
    1.5:1

    This is a stress test based on your inputs and real prop firm rules. Not a prediction, a reality check.

    05
    CHAPTER : 05

    One blown evaluation costs more than the app, many times over.

    The math is not subtle.

    CONTINUE

    One blown evaluation costs more than the app, many times over.

    What firms like FTMO charge, check current pricing. RangeSight is a one-time $29.99 founder price. The math isn't subtle.

    Pass-probability per firm

    24 prop firms, plus custom rules.

    Fix-This recommendation

    The exact risk-per-trade that maximizes your pass odds.

    Save and re-run

    Re-test as you tweak the strategy. 50 saved strategies.

    Get RangeSight for $29.99 lifetime

    iOS only. One-time payment, no subscription.

    06
    CHAPTER : 06

    Four engines. One picture of risk.

    Calculator. Playground. Risk Hub. Research.

    CONTINUE
    PASS PROBABILITY28.4%FTMO 100KIllustrative sample run
    RS : ZONE 01 : Risk of Ruin Calculator

    Run the math in your browser. No signup.

    Plug in win rate, risk per trade, and reward ratio. Get the probability your account survives the trailing drawdown, in real time, on any device.

    Open the Calculator
    10,000 PATHSIllustrative sample run
    SURVIVED 11RUIN 1
    RS : ZONE 02 : Strategy Playground

    Ten thousand paths. One strategy. One verdict.

    Stress-test any strategy against thousands of randomized trade orders. Watch survival rate update live as you tune your edge.

    Open the Playground
    RS : SAMPLE PATHSIllustrative sample run
    PATH 0001 : FTMO 100K+12.4%
    PATH 0042 : TOPSTEP 50K-3.1%
    PATH 0118 : APEX 25K+5.7%
    PATH 0207 : MFFX 100K-8.6%
    PATH 0331 : FTMO 200K+2.2%
    PATH 0488 : CUSTOM-0.4%
    RISK HUB

    24

    FIRMS MODELED

    24 prop firms, plus custom rules

    FTMOTOPSTEPAPEXMFFXFUNDED NEXTE8TFTTRADEIFY
    RS : ZONE 03 : Prop Firm Risk Hub

    Every major firm. Every drawdown rule. Modeled.

    We model 24 prop firms, plus custom rules. Pick yours and see exact pass-probability, daily loss thresholds, and trailing drawdown breach risk.

    Enter the Risk Hub
    RESEARCH FEEDLIVE
    • 01Why backtests lie
    • 02Sequence risk explained
    • 03Kelly vs fixed fractional
    • 04The trailing drawdown trap
    • 05Risk of ruin in plain math
    RS : ZONE 04 : Research and Learn

    Why most strategies fail before they break.

    Plain-language research on sequence risk, position sizing, Kelly, and the math behind blown evaluations. Built for prop traders, not academics.

    Open the Research Library
    100% Local
    No Cloud
    No Tracking

    Don't pay another evaluation fee blind.

    Check your pass probability first. The free Quick Test takes 60 seconds.

    Download RangeSight on the App Store

    Quick Test always free. RangeSight $29.99 lifetime, no subscription. iOS only.

    Prop trader questions

    What are my real chances of passing an FTMO challenge?

    Your pass probability depends on win rate, risk per trade, reward-to-risk, and FTMO's 10% max / 5% daily drawdown rules. Quick Test estimates your survival odds against those exact rules in seconds. Most retail traders are surprised at how low their real probability is.

    Why do prop firm evaluations end early?

    Not because their strategy lacks edge. They fail because the order of wins and losses (sequence risk) breaches the trailing drawdown before the edge plays out. Position sizing, not strategy quality, is the leading cause of evaluation failures.

    Which prop firms does RangeSight model?

    RangeSight models 24 prop firms, plus custom rules. Each uses the firm's published max drawdown and daily loss limits.

    Is RangeSight affiliated with any prop firm?

    No. RangeSight is independent and educational. It models publicly published firm rules. We are not affiliated with FTMO, Topstep, Apex, MyFundedFX or any other prop firm.

    How much does RangeSight cost?

    Quick Test is free, unlimited, and needs no signup. The RangeSight app is a one-time $29.99 founder price (first 1,000 buyers, then $99.99) for the full pass-probability engine, Fix-This recommendation, and saved strategies. One payment, lifetime access, no subscription.

    Risk & disclosures

    RangeSight is an educational simulation and risk-modeling tool. It does not provide investment, trading, or financial advice. Outputs are statistical estimates based on user-supplied inputs and publicly published prop firm rules.

    Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance and simulated results do not guarantee future outcomes. RangeSight is not affiliated with FTMO, Topstep, Apex Trader Funding, MyFundedFX, or any other prop firm.

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